estrategIAEnglish
edition

A thread through the archive · 86 essays

Government & Public Services

State capacity, public administration and the institutions that put technology to work.

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Issue 158
Government & Public Services

Three years of estrategIA: the time we are letting slip away

On estrategIA’s third anniversary, Fernando Nieto Lobato examines accelerating AI progress and the political preparation needed to protect rights and share its benefits.

Fernando Nieto Lobato9 min read Retrospective
Issue 154
AI in Practice

Astra: a new scale of intelligence and power

A historical account of GPT-6 Astra and an interactive municipal planning experiment, examining what better AI capabilities mean for public explanation and judgement.

Fernando Nieto Lobato8 min read Practical experiment
Issue 153
Government & Public Services

It would take gods to give laws to humans

Pablo Martín Diez reviews José Ignacio Latorre’s proposal for a social contract encompassing nature, humanity and AI, examining legitimacy and concentrated power.

Pablo Martín Diez5 min read Review & commentary
Issue 151
Democracy, Elections & Public Trust

The law everyone supported

A fictional public consultation explores how personalised explanations can make a policy accessible while hiding the common choices citizens need to debate.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Fiction
Issue 150
Democracy, Elections & Public Trust

The automated opposition

When AI makes political accusations cheap, a fictional MP discovers how the competition for attention can displace serious public scrutiny.

Fernando Nieto Lobato5 min read Fiction
Issue 149
Government & Public Services

The company that wasn't there

A story about an automated public-service contractor, and why a human signature means little without the authority to overrule the system.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Fiction
Issue 148
Government & Public Services

Zero compute

Summer fiction about allocating scarce public AI capacity during a heat emergency, revealing hidden dependencies and unequal local resilience.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Fiction
Issue 147
Government & Public Services

The carer who learnt to call

Summer fiction about an older woman, an AI care assistant and rebuilding human support without surrendering control of life at home.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Fiction
Issue 146
Government & Public Services

The minister’s memory

Summer fiction about an outgoing minister whose AI memory must be divided between institutional continuity and personal privacy.

Fernando Nieto Lobato5 min read Fiction
Issue 145
Government & Public Services

The Thursday mayor

Summer fiction set in 2032: a mayor whose administration runs smoothly with AI must choose between two legitimate but incompatible public needs.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Fiction
Issue 144
Government & Public Services

The final signature

The first summer historIA of 2026: a fictional council officer in 2032 confronts the difference between a recorded human signature and meaningful oversight.

Fernando Nieto Lobato7 min read Fiction
Issue 139
Government & Public Services

From tools to industries

Juan Segundo Hevia examines how AI companies move from general tools into industry workflows, and what this means for regulation and sovereignty.

Juan Segundo Hevia8 min read Analysis
Issue 138
Government & Public Services

Governing in the fog

How democratic institutions can plan under AI uncertainty through staged commitments, flexible structures and systems for detecting change.

Fernando Nieto Lobato8 min read Analysis
Issue 133
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Three possible futures for artificial intelligence in 2030

Three alternative AI futures for 2030 — plateau, sustained ascent and rapid take-off — and why strategic preparation must work across all three.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Analysis
Issue 130
Democracy, Elections & Public Trust

Artificial intelligence and electoral disinformation: lessons from Chile and Argentina for democratic governance in Latin America

Eight Fundación Botín programme participants examine AI-amplified electoral disinformation in Chile and Argentina and the institutional responses Latin America needs.

Martín Telleria; María Fernanda Pech Novelo; Steeven Johannes Flor Pio; Genesis Dejaneyra Cadenasso Correa; Maria Antônia de Medeiros Dantas Costa; Valentina Silva Schmidt; Katherine Lizeth Bernal Santos; Samuel José Vega Martínez6 min read Analysis
Issue 129
Government & Public Services

MUNICIP-IA: from using AI tools to governing change

Sofía García Morales reports from MUNICIP-IA on practical municipal adoption, institutional judgement, digital sovereignty and the political implications of AI.

Sofía García Morales7 min read Analysis
Issue 123
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

AI's adolescence: when power arrives before policy

A political reading of Dario Amodei’s technological adolescence and Claude’s Constitution: institutional wisdom, oversight and the limits of corporate sovereignty.

Fernando Nieto Lobato5 min read Analysis
Issue 120
Government & Public Services

CES 2026 confirms a new phase: AI as ‘electricity’

A historical assessment of CES 2026: universal AI access, Nvidia's physical AI infrastructure, on-device assistants, autonomous agriculture and preventive care.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Analysis
Issue 112
Government & Public Services

The new role of digital advisers

Javier Battilana Urbieta considers how conversational AI can extend the tradition of advisers who help leaders reflect, decide and act.

Javier Battilana Urbieta6 min read Analysis
Issue 106
Government & Public Services

Governing with artificial intelligence

Ignacio Martín Granados explores where AI creates public value, the risks of action and inaction, and the conditions for trustworthy government adoption.

Ignacio Martín Granados6 min read Analysis
Issue 102
Democracy, Elections & Public Trust

Campaigns in the age of AI: global lessons from 2024

Ignacio Martín Granados examines a global study of AI use in the 2024 elections and its lessons for campaigns, public trust and democratic integrity.

Ignacio Martín Granados5 min read Analysis
Issue 096
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

The year of the silent tsunami

A Gemini 2.5 Pro story imagines a rapid AGI transition and the consequences of failing to prepare institutions and the social contract.

Fernando Nieto Lobato5 min read Fiction
Issue 091
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Distributed forecasting platforms and the future of AI

How collective forecasting can inform AI policy, and why probabilities require critical judgement rather than blind trust.

Fernando Nieto Lobato13 min read Analysis
Issue 058
Democracy, Elections & Public Trust

AI Steve and candidacies based on artificial intelligence

Fernando Domínguez Sardou examines AI Steve's parliamentary campaign and what generative AI could contribute to the relationship between citizens and their representatives.

Fernando Domínguez Sardou4 min read Analysis
Issue 022
Government & Public Services

Challenges and uses of AI in public affairs

Gustavo Fedi examines the distinction between generative and predictive AI, the challenges of measurement and six emerging applications in public affairs.

Gustavo Fedi4 min read Analysis
Issue 007
AI in Practice

AI agents: a new way of interacting with technology

Bill Gates’s vision of personal AI agents prompts an exploration of hypothetical applications in public services, participation, policy analysis and scrutiny.

Fernando Nieto Lobato3 min read Analysis