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Founder, director and lead writer

Fernando Nieto Lobato

Fernando Nieto Lobato created estrategIA in 2023 and directs the publication as its lead writer. He is Director of Marketing and Digital Innovation at ALEPH Educational Institution. Based in Salamanca, he works across strategic consultancy, communication and technology, with a particular interest in how artificial intelligence changes politics, public institutions and the decisions they make.

He studied journalism and founded ThinkNet Consultora Estratégica in 2014. His work has involved political campaigns, public administrations, businesses and third-sector organisations, alongside teaching and the design of training programmes and political simulations. In estrategIA, he examines both practical applications of AI and their implications for democratic life, connecting technological developments with questions of public responsibility, institutional capacity and judgement.

In the English archive

Essays by Fernando Nieto Lobato

118 essays, including co-authored work. Dates refer to the Spanish originals.

Issue 158
Government & Public Services

Three years of estrategIA: the time we are letting slip away

On estrategIA’s third anniversary, Fernando Nieto Lobato examines accelerating AI progress and the political preparation needed to protect rights and share its benefits.

Fernando Nieto Lobato9 min read Retrospective
Issue 156
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Fear of AI concentrates power too

An argument for independent AI safety oversight, proportionate controls and broad access, examining regulatory capture and the human costs of unjustified delay.

Fernando Nieto Lobato8 min read Analysis
Issue 155
Power, Sovereignty & Geopolitics

AI sovereignty: five conditions for the power to decide

Electricity, compute, oversight, people and capital: what countries need to turn a claim of AI sovereignty into the power to decide.

Fernando Nieto Lobato9 min read Analysis
Issue 154
AI in Practice

Astra: a new scale of intelligence and power

A historical account of GPT-6 Astra and an interactive municipal planning experiment, examining what better AI capabilities mean for public explanation and judgement.

Fernando Nieto Lobato8 min read Practical experiment
Issue 151
Democracy, Elections & Public Trust

The law everyone supported

A fictional public consultation explores how personalised explanations can make a policy accessible while hiding the common choices citizens need to debate.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Fiction
Issue 150
Democracy, Elections & Public Trust

The automated opposition

When AI makes political accusations cheap, a fictional MP discovers how the competition for attention can displace serious public scrutiny.

Fernando Nieto Lobato5 min read Fiction
Issue 149
Government & Public Services

The company that wasn't there

A story about an automated public-service contractor, and why a human signature means little without the authority to overrule the system.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Fiction
Issue 148
Government & Public Services

Zero compute

Summer fiction about allocating scarce public AI capacity during a heat emergency, revealing hidden dependencies and unequal local resilience.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Fiction
Issue 147
Government & Public Services

The carer who learnt to call

Summer fiction about an older woman, an AI care assistant and rebuilding human support without surrendering control of life at home.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Fiction
Issue 146
Government & Public Services

The minister’s memory

Summer fiction about an outgoing minister whose AI memory must be divided between institutional continuity and personal privacy.

Fernando Nieto Lobato5 min read Fiction
Issue 145
Government & Public Services

The Thursday mayor

Summer fiction set in 2032: a mayor whose administration runs smoothly with AI must choose between two legitimate but incompatible public needs.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Fiction
Issue 144
Government & Public Services

The final signature

The first summer historIA of 2026: a fictional council officer in 2032 confronts the difference between a recorded human signature and meaningful oversight.

Fernando Nieto Lobato7 min read Fiction
Issue 143
AI in Practice

Trying SillyTavern as a space for political debate with AI

A first-person SillyTavern experiment with five synthetic political profiles, exploring its value for preparing questions and its limits as social research.

Fernando Nieto Lobato13 min read Practical experiment
Issue 138
Government & Public Services

Governing in the fog

How democratic institutions can plan under AI uncertainty through staged commitments, flexible structures and systems for detecting change.

Fernando Nieto Lobato8 min read Analysis
Issue 133
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Three possible futures for artificial intelligence in 2030

Three alternative AI futures for 2030 — plateau, sustained ascent and rapid take-off — and why strategic preparation must work across all three.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Analysis
Issue 132
Work, Welfare & the Social Contract

AI is not taking our work away. It is freeing us from it.

If technology can separate income from employment, the political task is to share its gains—and the freedom they could make possible.

Fernando Nieto Lobato12 min read Opinion
Issue 127
Power, Sovereignty & Geopolitics

Who leads AI? Twelve key players in the model race, 2026

A historical guide to twelve AI model developers and deployment players, their products, institutional significance and competing strategic priorities.

Fernando Nieto Lobato8 min read Analysis
Issue 123
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

AI's adolescence: when power arrives before policy

A political reading of Dario Amodei’s technological adolescence and Claude’s Constitution: institutional wisdom, oversight and the limits of corporate sovereignty.

Fernando Nieto Lobato5 min read Analysis
Issue 120
Government & Public Services

CES 2026 confirms a new phase: AI as ‘electricity’

A historical assessment of CES 2026: universal AI access, Nvidia's physical AI infrastructure, on-device assistants, autonomous agriculture and preventive care.

Fernando Nieto Lobato6 min read Analysis
Issue 096
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

The year of the silent tsunami

A Gemini 2.5 Pro story imagines a rapid AGI transition and the consequences of failing to prepare institutions and the social contract.

Fernando Nieto Lobato5 min read Fiction
Issue 094
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

The voice of the algorithm that learned to dream

A Grok 4 summer fable set in Mexico City in 2045 explores civic participation, empathy and an AI that learns from human stories.

Fernando Nieto Lobato4 min read Fiction
Issue 093
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

An AI's travel diary: summer 2025

A fictional AI travel diary, created with GPT-4.5, visits four places associated with the development of artificial intelligence.

Fernando Nieto Lobato5 min read Fiction
Issue 091
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Distributed forecasting platforms and the future of AI

How collective forecasting can inform AI policy, and why probabilities require critical judgement rather than blind trust.

Fernando Nieto Lobato13 min read Analysis
Issue 061
AI in Practice

Five good AI tools with Black Friday discounts

The November 2024 archive of estrategIA's Black Friday selection: Pictory, Kling, Mimic PC, Freepik and Poe, with the original offers and disclosures preserved.

Fernando Nieto Lobato10 min read Review & commentary
Issue 047
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Stories of politics, government and AI in 2045 (7)

Grok 2 mini supplies the final summer story: an AI candidate faces a human activist who questions its promise to optimise collective happiness.

Fernando Nieto Lobato3 min read Fiction
Issue 046
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Stories of politics, government and AI in 2045 (6)

An updated Gemini model tells the story of Perseo, an AI policy adviser whose impeccable calculations raise disturbing ethical questions.

Fernando Nieto Lobato2 min read Fiction
Issue 045
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Stories of politics, government and AI in 2045 (5)

Created with Mistral Large 2, this story follows ATHENA, an AI cabinet member whose success provokes a political conspiracy.

Fernando Nieto Lobato3 min read Fiction
Issue 044
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Stories of politics, government and AI in 2045 (4)

A fictional AI designed to advise governments becomes a political force in its own right, in a story created with Llama 3.1 405B.

Fernando Nieto Lobato2 min read Fiction
Issue 043
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Stories of politics, government and AI in 2045 (3)

A summer satire created with Claude Sonnet 3.5: an AI campaign assistant detects one problem too many in a presidential debate.

Fernando Nieto Lobato2 min read Fiction
Issue 042
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Stories of politics, government and AI in 2045 (2)

In this summer story created with Gemini 1.5 Pro, a bored programmer disrupts the speeches of an impeccably rational digital ruler.

Fernando Nieto Lobato2 min read Fiction
Issue 041
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

Stories of politics, government and AI in 2045

The summer fiction series begins with GPT-4o's story of Políticus-Prime, a humorous AI candidate facing a flamboyant human rival.

Fernando Nieto Lobato3 min read Fiction
Issue 014
Futures, Safety & Human Agency

The rise of AI: key predictions for 2024

Five AI trends predicted at the start of 2024, plus the expected impact of AI on the US elections and public perceptions.

Fernando Nieto Lobato5 min read Analysis
Issue 012
AI in Practice

Discover 10 AI-related gift ideas for Christmas

The original Christmas 2023 selection of five AI-related books or series and five devices, with historical product descriptions and links.

Fernando Nieto Lobato9 min read Analysis
Issue 007
AI in Practice

AI agents: a new way of interacting with technology

Bill Gates’s vision of personal AI agents prompts an exploration of hypothetical applications in public services, participation, policy analysis and scrutiny.

Fernando Nieto Lobato3 min read Analysis